Imagine if hurricanes Harvey and Irma were predicted the same way CVD is predicted today: an estimated 10-year risk prediction! Imagine if the weatherman says there is a 7.5% chance of a category 5 hurricane in the next 10 years.
Do you think people would take immediate preventive actions like boarding up their windows, buying hurricane supplies, or even changing their daily routines???
Most likely not, because long term predictions do not trigger immediate preventive actions. This is why Cardiology needs a short-term predictor (preferably 6-12 month forecast), and we (SHAPE and collaborators) are going to create it.
Visit http://shapesociety.org/the-first-machine-learning-heart-attack-forecast-symposium to find out how we are using machine learning and existing cohorts to tackle this problem.